TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance of quarterbacks Matthew Stafford and Josh Allen in a specific NFL matchup. It focuses on how many passing touchdowns each quarterback throws during the game, with different thresholds defining various outcomes.
All markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns thrown by Matthew Stafford or Josh Allen in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 12, 2026. For any market, if the referenced quarterback is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap — even if that snap is nullified by a penalty — the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of passing touchdowns recorded during the game. All markets are independent and resolve to 'Yes' only if the specified threshold of passing touchdowns (1+, 2+, 3+, 4+, or 5+ for Stafford, or 2+ for Allen) is met. The operator explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all league trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a dynamic pricing model, meaning prices adjust rapidly based on supply and demand. This creates a real-time indication of what the crowd believes will happen in the game regarding passing touchdowns.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the number of passing touchdowns scored by each team in the Buffalo versus Los Angeles game will be used to determine the winning contract. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for verifying the final result. The market will settle to 100 for the winning outcome and 0 for all others, reflecting the binary nature of the prediction.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding the starting quarterbacks for either team, particularly injuries or changes in their playing status, would likely cause substantial movement. Weather conditions, especially strong winds or heavy rain, could impact the passing game and shift probabilities. Unexpected changes in team strategies or key player matchups could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news about player availability or performance expectations will be closely watched and quickly reflected in the prices within this market.