TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Sports
Buffalo vs Los Angeles R: Passing Completions
kalshi

What is the result of Buffalo vs Los Angeles?

Volume:
$66,144

Matthew Stafford: 24+

 - Kalshi

Matthew Stafford: 24+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 10:31 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Matthew Stafford: 24+

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,344
N/A
N/A
$16,471
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Matthew Stafford: 29+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,308
N/A
N/A
$13,144
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Matthew Stafford: 19+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,081
N/A
N/A
$8,081
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Josh Allen: 21+

0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,963
N/A
N/A
$16,298
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Allen: 16+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,967
N/A
N/A
$2,233
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Allen: 26+

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,482
N/A
N/A
$1,333
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the performance of two quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how many times they successfully connect with their receivers. The outcome depends on whether each player meets or exceeds certain thresholds for completed passes during the match. These thresholds create different levels of achievement for each player's performance.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on the number of passing completions achieved by either Matthew Stafford or Josh Allen in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles Rams game scheduled for October 12, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the specified quarterback must record at least the stated number of completions (19+, 24+, or 29+ for Stafford; 16+, 21+, or 26+ for Allen). If a quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at its fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly based on the actual number of completions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets within this event, ensuring consistent evaluation of each outcome based on in-game performance data.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Bills vs Chargers passing market tracks the current price of contracts representing different numbers of passing completions in the upcoming game. You’ll find a visual price history showing how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $65,043. Total volume for this market is $66,144. The dashboard allows you to see which outcomes traders believe are most likely and how much activity is happening in this particular market.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of that outcome will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available and the event approaches.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different numbers of passing completions. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. Buyers are expressing a belief that the actual number of completions will be *less* than the contract price, while sellers believe it will be *more*. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the traders.

This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The number of passing completions achieved by both the Buffalo Bills and the Los Angeles Chargers during the game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The exact number of completions, as recorded by official sources, will be the deciding factor for settlement. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts on Kalshi following the game’s conclusion.

Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected number of passing completions. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive adjustments could also shift trader sentiment and affect the market price. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.