TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which player will gain the most rushing yards in a specific NFL matchup between Buffalo and Los Angeles. Each market focuses on a different player from either team, determining whether that individual achieves the highest ground-gaining performance in the game. Outcomes depend entirely on in-game performance and participation.
All markets resolve based on whether the named player records the most rushing yards in the Buffalo vs. Los Angeles NFL game scheduled for October 12, 2026. If the designated player does not participate, the market resolves as No. In cases where multiple players tie for the highest rushing yards, the payout is divided equally among all tied markets at a rate of 1/N, where N is the number of tied players, with each holder receiving $1 minus the Yes payout. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a player will outperform expectations, the price for that outcome will rise, potentially creating a discrepancy with sportsbook offerings. It’s common to see differences, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about which player will have the most rushing yards. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of all participants, creating a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final official statistics for rushing yards are verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the most rushing yards in the game will be considered the winning outcome for this market. The official NFL statistics will serve as the final determination of the results, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will be able to see their contracts settled based on this verified data.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries to key running backs on either team would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if heavy rain or snow is predicted, could also impact the expected rushing totals. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions related to running plays could shift trader sentiment and alter the prices within this market. Unexpected changes in player availability are often key catalysts.