TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in a specific NFL game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve predetermined fantasy point thresholds using a standardized scoring system.
All markets resolve based on Sleeper’s default full-PPR fantasy scoring for the Buffalo vs Los Angeles Rams game scheduled for October 12, 2026, including overtime. Each market specifies a player or team unit (D/ST) and a minimum fantasy point threshold; if the specified entity exceeds this threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Players who do not participate or lack a recorded fantasy point value are considered to have scored zero points. The official Sleeper-published fantasy point totals at expiration are used without post-expiration adjustments or rounding. Scoring includes passing/rushing/receiving yards and touchdowns, kicking points from field goals and extra points, and defensive/special teams contributions such as sacks, interceptions, touchdowns, and points allowed penalties, all calculated per the detailed Sleeper full-PPR format provided in the rule set.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or public perception. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying opinions among participants. If significant differences exist, opportunities for arbitrage may emerge, where traders can profit by exploiting the price differences.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different fantasy point totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price represents the cost to take one side of the bet, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final fantasy point total and trading accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy point total for the Buffalo and Los Angeles game, as officially recorded by a major fantasy sports provider, will determine the outcome. The market will settle to 100 for the fantasy point total that occurred during the game. Traders holding contracts corresponding to that total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for other totals will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key players on either the Buffalo or Los Angeles teams would be significant, as they directly impact expected fantasy point production. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is anticipated, could also shift the market. News regarding player matchups or coaching strategies might also lead to price adjustments. Finally, any late-breaking news or developments related to the game itself could cause the market to react and prices to change.