TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:58 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on individual player performance in an upcoming NFL game between Buffalo and Los Angeles. Payouts are determined by how many fantasy points each specified player scores during the game, with specific calculations applied to determine winnings for 'Yes' and 'No' positions.
Each market determines payouts based on the Points Per Reception (PPR) fantasy points scored by a specified player in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles NFL game scheduled for October 12, 2026. For 'Yes' contracts, the payout is calculated as $0.01 multiplied by the player’s weekly fantasy points, rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and capped between $0.00 and $1.00. The 'No' contract payout is $1.00 minus the 'Yes' payout. If Sleeper does not assign a fantasy-point total for the player that week, the player is considered to have scored 0.0 points, resulting in a 'Yes' payout of $0.00 and a 'No' payout of $1.00. All payouts are proportional to the holder’s position size. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for each named player.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, leading to odds that can diverge from sportsbook lines as new information surfaces or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than traditional betting venues, especially regarding factors not easily quantifiable by algorithms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place orders, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment. The goal is to create a market that accurately forecasts the eventual result.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the Buffalo vs Los Angeles R fantasy competition. It’s important to note that the exact timing of resolution may depend on the official release of these results, but it will occur as soon as reasonably possible following the event’s completion. Traders should monitor Kalshi for official announcements regarding the resolution process and timing.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategies, or unexpected performance from key players in either Buffalo or Los Angeles R could significantly shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, updates on weather conditions or other external factors impacting the competition could also play a role. Analyst predictions and public discussion surrounding the event are also likely to influence trading activity and, consequently, the odds offered in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for informed trading.