Will both teams score in the 4th quarter?

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Therefore, you might find that the implied probability of both teams scoring in the 4th quarter of the Buffalo vs Los Angeles game, as indicated by this market, diverges from the odds offered by traditional sportsbooks. This difference can be particularly noticeable as new information emerges and more people trade.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the ‘Yes’ outcome—that both teams score in the 4th quarter of the Buffalo vs Los Angeles game. As more people buy ‘Yes’ contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling ‘Yes’ contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, and the market adjusts dynamically to new information and trading activity. The current price represents the market’s expectation of the outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the Buffalo and Los Angeles teams score at least one point each during the 4th quarter of their game. Official game statistics from a recognized sports data provider will be used to determine if both teams met this condition. The market will then settle based on whether the ‘Yes’ outcome is true or not, providing a clear result for all traders.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Buffalo or Los Angeles teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first three quarters, such as dominant offensive displays or strong defensive showings, could shift trader sentiment and alter the price. Unexpected coaching decisions or late-breaking team news are other potential catalysts.