TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Buffalo vs Los Angeles R: 1st Touchdown
kalshi

Who scores the first touchdown?

Volume:
$6,814,402

Davante Adams

 - Kalshi

Davante Adams - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 9:23 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Davante Adams

View
100%
90%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$466,188
N/A
N/A
$335,052
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Joshua Palmer

View
3%
Yes 3¢No 97¢
—
N/A
$1,382
N/A
N/A
$1,382
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

CJ Daniels

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$1,361
N/A
N/A
$1,361
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Josh Allen

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$575,494
N/A
N/A
$525,448
Settled
No
kalshi

Puka Nacua

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$560,435
N/A
N/A
$503,020
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyren Williams

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$559,940
N/A
N/A
$460,490
Settled
No
kalshi

Khalil Shakir

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$529,928
N/A
N/A
$504,036
Settled
No
kalshi

Dalton Kincaid

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$520,061
N/A
N/A
$483,316
Settled
No
kalshi

James Cook III

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$459,038
N/A
N/A
$419,177
Settled
No
kalshi

Keon Coleman

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$434,267
N/A
N/A
$420,780
Settled
No
kalshi

Skyler Bell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$411,121
N/A
N/A
$406,700
Settled
No
kalshi

Dawson Knox

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$290,755
N/A
N/A
$270,582
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Higbee

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$273,596
N/A
N/A
$251,356
Settled
No
kalshi

Ty Johnson

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$229,999
N/A
N/A
$228,036
Settled
No
kalshi

Tutu Atwell

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$228,509
N/A
N/A
$228,509
Settled
No
kalshi

Colby Parkinson

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$217,646
N/A
N/A
$198,041
Settled
No
kalshi

Greg Dortch

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$191,184
N/A
N/A
$187,398
Settled
No
kalshi

Blake Corum

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$166,220
N/A
N/A
$154,741
Settled
No
kalshi

Matthew Stafford

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$135,246
N/A
N/A
$122,169
Settled
No
kalshi

Davis Allen

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$117,785
N/A
N/A
$117,041
Settled
No
kalshi

Trent Sherfield

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$107,644
N/A
N/A
$107,644
Settled
No
kalshi

Konata Mumpfield

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$103,041
N/A
N/A
$101,409
Settled
No
kalshi

Jackson Hawes

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,038
N/A
N/A
$57,799
Settled
No
kalshi

Jordan Whittington

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,821
N/A
N/A
$53,954
Settled
No
kalshi

BUF Bills D/ST

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,861
N/A
N/A
$37,694
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 28

Intro

This market asks which player will score the first touchdown in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles R professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives Konata Mumpfield a 19.0% probability of scoring first, while Puka Nacua is at 13.0%. The market will resolve based on whether Tutu Atwell scores the first touchdown in the game, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on team injury reports leading up to the game on October 12, 2026, as player availability could significantly shift these probabilities before the market closes on the resolution date of October 13, 2026.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the specified player, defensive unit, or 'No Touchdown' condition achieves the first touchdown in the game. If a listed player or unit is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a snap occurs—even if nullified by penalty—the outcome depends solely on whether that entity scores the first touchdown. If no touchdowns are scored in the entire game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves as Yes, and all other player and unit markets resolve as No. These rules apply uniformly across all individual player and team markets for this event.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the first touchdown market tracks the current price of each potential player to score the first touchdown, the 24-hour trading volume of $6,773,873, and the total volume traded to date of $6,814,402. You can also see a price history chart to understand how the odds have shifted over time. This allows you to analyze market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities within this market. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of each player reaching the endzone first in the Buffalo versus Los Angeles matchup.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. However, sportsbook odds can still offer valuable insights, particularly regarding public perception and initial market reactions. Discrepancies between this market and sportsbook lines can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders, though these are often fleeting as the market adjusts.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each player scoring the first touchdown. As more people buy a contract, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the cost to own one unit of probability for that outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of all participants trading on Kalshi.

This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player physically crossed the goal line first to score a touchdown in the Buffalo versus Los Angeles game. Any touchdowns scored on penalty plays or defensive returns will not count toward resolution. The official game statistics will be used to verify the outcome and settle this market, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in the starting lineup, or even weather conditions leading up to the game could shift probabilities. Unexpected reports about a player’s health or playing time would likely cause substantial price movement. Game-day developments, such as a player’s early performance or strategic adjustments by the coaching staff, could also trigger rapid changes in the market. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi can indicate informed activity and potentially foreshadow shifts in market sentiment.