TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 9:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the points a team needs to score for the market to resolve positively.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by either Buffalo or Los Angeles in the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 12, 2026. Each market specifies a unique point threshold; if the specified team scores more than that threshold, the market resolves to Yes. Thresholds range from just over 2.5 points to over 30.5 points for each team, allowing for varied assessments of scoring performance. All markets are independent, and the resolution depends solely on the actual points scored in the first half, regardless of the final game outcome. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own beliefs, which can lead to odds that diverge from traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available. While sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting patterns, prediction markets continuously update with every trade, offering a dynamic comparison point. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly for events with significant public interest.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a collective assessment. The market operates much like a stock exchange, with bids and asks determining the current price. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event’s outcome and capitalizing on discrepancies between their beliefs and the market price.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first half of the Buffalo vs Los Angeles game will be used to determine whether the total points scored by either team exceeded the threshold represented by the contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final, confirmed outcome of the first half.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Buffalo or Los Angeles teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the playing conditions, could also affect the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, large-volume trades from informed participants could create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting new insights or risk adjustments.