TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether either team's defensive/special teams unit scores at least one touchdown during an NFL game. It applies specific participant protection rules for certain contracts, ensuring fair resolution based on player involvement thresholds and game outcomes.
These markets resolve based on whether the specified team's defensive/special teams unit scores one or more touchdowns in the full game, including overtime. Both markets feature a 'protected' designation for applicable contracts, meaning if a player participates in the first half but not afterward, the contract resolves at the pre-game fair price unless the required touchdowns are scored. Actual statistics determine resolution if the player participates in any play after halftime. Penalties nullifying plays and non-participation scenarios are explicitly addressed, with passing touchdowns excluded from counting toward the criteria. The rules clarify that team defense/special-teams selections always settle on actual touchdowns, unaffected by player participation exceptions. The contracts apply only to full-game, at-least criteria and are not endorsed by the NFL.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at various price levels, provides insight into the strength of conviction behind different predictions. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the total number of touchdowns scored in the Buffalo vs Las Vegas game. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the official statistics are available.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Buffalo Bills or the Las Vegas Raiders would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to either a passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any late-breaking news related to team morale or internal dynamics, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market before Oct 19, 2026.