TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:41 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether a specific player achieves various rushing yard thresholds in an upcoming football game. Each outcome depends on the player's performance during the match, with different thresholds defining each possible result.
All markets resolve based on whether James Cook III records a specified number of rushing yards or more in the Buffalo vs Las Vegas professional football game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If Cook is active but never takes a snap, markets settle to the fair market price before kickoff. Once Cook takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the markets settle strictly on the rushing yards he records during the game. All markets are independent, each corresponding to a different numerical threshold of rushing yards, and each resolves to 'Yes' only if Cook meets or exceeds that threshold. The operator explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time forecast of the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage totals from the Buffalo versus Las Vegas game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yardage statistics, as reported by the NFL’s official sources, will determine which outcome wins. The market will settle based on the total combined rushing yards achieved by both teams during the game, as officially recorded. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries to running backs or offensive linemen on either team would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict unfavorable conditions for running the ball, could also shift expectations. Additionally, late-breaking reports on team strategies or coaching decisions related to their running game could impact trading activity. Unexpected developments in the days leading up to the game could all contribute to shifts in the market’s assessment of the likely rushing yardage total.