TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by specific players in an upcoming Pro Football game. The outcome depends on whether designated players meet or exceed specified reception thresholds during the full match, including any overtime periods.
All markets are designated as 'protected,' meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but none after the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price set before the game starts unless the player meets the required reception threshold, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Penalties that nullify a play do not count toward participation or reception totals. Players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with 'at least' payout criteria, and all reception counts include overtime plays.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are attempting to profit by accurately predicting the number of receptions, and their collective actions determine the prices you see on the dashboard. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for the Buffalo vs Las Vegas game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for settlement. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, based on the actual performance during the game.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key receivers on either the Buffalo or Las Vegas teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect passing offenses, could also shift prices. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or adjustments to playing time for specific players could prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Even general public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.