TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions specific players achieve in an upcoming football game, offering multiple thresholds for each player. The outcome depends solely on whether the designated player meets or exceeds the stated reception count during the match.
All markets refer to receptions recorded by named players in the Buffalo vs Las Vegas Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. For each market, if the specified player records the stated number of receptions or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market settles based on actual receptions recorded during the game. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, whereas this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many traders. While sportsbook odds are readily available, they may be influenced by factors like public perception or promotional offers. This market provides a different signal, driven purely by individuals’ willingness to buy or sell based on their beliefs about the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for players in the Buffalo vs Las Vegas game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for the resolution. Traders will be able to see the final results and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Injury reports for key players on either team, particularly wide receivers and tight ends, would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also impact passing game strategies and therefore reception totals. Unexpected news regarding team dynamics or coaching decisions could also shift market sentiment. Any late-breaking information that alters perceptions of the game’s likely outcome has the potential to move this market.