TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Buffalo Bills wide receiver Keon Coleman will achieve over 40 receiving yards in their game against Las Vegas. Currently, the probability of Keon Coleman exceeding 40 receiving yards on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by official game statistics from the Buffalo vs Las Vegas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, as defined by the resolution source. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on statistics recorded during the match, with final resolution expected by October 19, 2026.
All markets resolve based on whether specified Buffalo Bills players record designated receiving yard thresholds in the game scheduled for October 18, 2026. If a player is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual receiving yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all yardage thresholds for each named player, ensuring consistent evaluation of performance metrics regardless of specific threshold levels.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs about the likely outcome. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prediction market can adjust more quickly than traditional sportsbooks. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as the market aggregates diverse perspectives on the potential receiving yardage totals in this game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage ranges, and the price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a higher total, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of its participants. The current price reflects the probability that the total receiving yards will fall within the range represented by that contract.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official receiving yardage totals from the Buffalo vs Las Vegas game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the final, official statistics released by the relevant sporting authority. Traders will be able to see which contracts were settled as winners and losers following the conclusion of the game and verification of the official results.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers on both teams are major catalysts; if a star player is ruled out, it would likely shift the market towards lower yardage totals. Weather conditions, particularly if there's heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence passing game performance and therefore move this market. Late-breaking news regarding defensive matchups or coaching strategies could also play a role, as could any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the game's likely outcome.