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$154.4b

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$290,393,159

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2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

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4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Sports
Buffalo vs Las Vegas: Player Longest Rush
kalshi

What is the result of Buffalo vs Las Vegas?

Volume:
$2,177

Mike Washington Jr.: over 7.5 yards

 - Kalshi

Mike Washington Jr.: over 7.5 yards - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 7:43 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Mike Washington Jr.: over 7.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$404
N/A
N/A
$393
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Josh Allen: over 13.5 yards

0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$899
N/A
N/A
$867
Settled
No
kalshi

Ashton Jeanty: over 11.5 yards

0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$464
N/A
N/A
$440
Settled
No
kalshi

James Cook III: over 20.5 yards

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$410
N/A
N/A
$352
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This set of markets tracks whether specific players from either team achieve a rushing play longer than a set threshold during the game. Each market focuses on a different player and their performance in terms of yardage gained on a single rush. The outcomes depend on whether the player's longest run exceeds the specified yardage mark.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on whether designated players record a longest rush exceeding specified yardage thresholds in the Buffalo vs Las Vegas Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. For each player market, if the athlete records a rush longer than the threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the longest rush actually recorded during the game. These rules apply independently to each player’s market, with each evaluating the specific yardage criteria for the named participant.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL longest rush market tracks the current odds for each player to have the longest rush in the Buffalo versus Las Vegas game. You'll find a price history showing how the odds have changed over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $1,982. The total volume traded on this market is $2,177. This allows traders to see which players are currently favored and how much activity there is around each outcome, offering a real-time view of market sentiment.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of each player achieving the longest rush. Discrepancies can arise from differing analyses, public biases, or even late-breaking news impacting player availability. It’s common to see this market incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each player’s probability of having the longest rush. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of that player winning. Conversely, selling a contract lowers its price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi, creating a dynamic and evolving probability distribution for the outcome of the NFL longest rush market.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest single rushing attempt during the Buffalo versus Las Vegas game will be declared the winner. The official game statistics, as recorded by the NFL, will serve as the basis for determining the longest rush and settling this market. Any ties will be resolved according to the platform's standard tie-breaking procedures.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key running backs on either team would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor a passing or running game, could also influence trader behavior. Unexpected announcements about playing time or strategic changes by either coaching staff could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding player matchups or defensive strategies could lead to adjustments in the probabilities assigned to each player in this market.