TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Buffalo vs Las Vegas: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)
kalshi

What is the result of Buffalo vs Las Vegas?

Volume:
$1,310

Josh Allen: 2+

 - Kalshi

Josh Allen: 2+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 7:43 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Josh Allen: 2+

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$802
N/A
N/A
$782
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$241
N/A
N/A
$241
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Josh Allen: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$233
N/A
N/A
$233
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 2+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 3+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Allen: 3+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Allen: 4+

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 4+

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 5+

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

These markets evaluate Josh Allen's passing performance in a specific NFL game between Buffalo and Las Vegas. The outcome depends on whether he throws a certain number of touchdown passes during the entire match, including any overtime periods. Each market has a different threshold for the number of touchdowns required for a positive resolution.

Kalshi

All markets utilize a 'protected' designation for Josh Allen, meaning if he participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after halftime (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price set before the game started—unless he meets or exceeds the required number of passing touchdowns, in which case the contract settles based on actual statistics. If Allen participates in any play after the first half, the contract always settles based on actual statistics, regardless of his first-half involvement. Participation in a play that is nullified by a penalty does not count, and a player who never participates is subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protection mechanism applies exclusively to full-game contracts with an 'at least' payout criterion, and all statistics include overtime plays. Kalshi clarifies it has no official affiliation with the NFL or any team, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL passing touchdowns market tracks the current price of contracts representing different outcomes for the number of passing touchdowns scored in the Buffalo versus Las Vegas game. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the price of each outcome has changed over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $1,284. The total volume traded on this market is $1,310, indicating the level of interest from traders. This allows you to see how the market is reacting to news and information.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available. However, both aim to accurately predict the probability of various outcomes, and significant discrepancies can sometimes present opportunities for arbitrage if you believe the market has mispriced an event.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the number of passing touchdowns. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the group. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by factors like news, injuries, and expert analysis, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the game’s potential.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing touchdowns scored in the Buffalo versus Las Vegas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and the contract corresponding to the correct number of passing touchdowns will pay out $1.00. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the official results are available, and any outstanding contracts will be settled accordingly.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict adverse conditions for passing, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, late-breaking news about player availability or team dynamics will be closely watched by traders and could lead to substantial price fluctuations.