TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$260,393,102

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,894,304,386

408,643

Markets across

39,771

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,493

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Buffalo vs Las Vegas: Passing Completions
kalshi

What is the result of Buffalo vs Las Vegas?

Volume:
$21,936

Josh Allen: 21+

 - Kalshi

Josh Allen: 21+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 7:16 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Josh Allen: 21+

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,156
N/A
N/A
$12,336
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Josh Allen: 16+

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,352
N/A
N/A
$1,342
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 19+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,226
N/A
N/A
$1,226
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 24+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,502
N/A
N/A
$1,313
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Allen: 26+

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,170
N/A
N/A
$1,166
Settled
No
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 29+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$530
N/A
N/A
$525
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks passing performance metrics for specific quarterbacks in an upcoming professional football game. It focuses on whether predetermined thresholds of completed passes are met by named players during the match. Outcomes depend purely on in-game statistics without external influences.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on the number of passing completions achieved by specified quarterbacks during the Buffalo vs Las Vegas Professional Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. For any market, if the relevant quarterback is active for the game but does not take a single snap, the market settles at its fair market price determined immediately before the game begins. However, once the quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether those plays are later nullified by penalties—the market resolves strictly according to the actual passing completions recorded during the game. Thresholds vary across markets, with different required completion counts for each quarterback, but all share the same fundamental activation and settlement conditions regarding snap participation and penalty nullification.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Bills vs Raiders passing market tracks the current odds for various passing completion totals, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $21,495, and the total volume traded to date, which is $21,936. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and activity around the expected performance of both teams' quarterbacks in terms of completed passes during the game.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell based on their individual assessments. It's common to see some divergence, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts, but both aim to predict the same underlying outcome. Comparing them can provide a more comprehensive view of potential game outcomes.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous, order-book style exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total number of passing completions. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing completions for both teams, as recorded by official league statisticians, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will reflect the total combined passing completions achieved by both the Buffalo Bills and the Las Vegas Raiders during the specified game, and will be based on official data sources.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding the starting quarterbacks for either team, such as injuries or changes in playing status, would likely have a significant impact. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for passing, could also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about key wide receivers or offensive line injuries could affect traders' expectations and move the market prices. Changes in public perception, driven by analyst predictions or social media sentiment, can also play a role.