TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This event examines a football contest between Buffalo and Las Vegas, focusing on whether each team achieves a certain point total. Success depends on both sides meeting or exceeding the set benchmark during the match.
These markets resolve based on whether both Buffalo and Las Vegas each score at least the specified number of points (14, 21, 28, or 35 points) in their Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. Points scored in overtime are included in the tally. Should the game be postponed but begin within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets stay open and resolve using the official final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi holds no affiliation with the Governing League; all trademarks are property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders predicting the likelihood of both teams scoring. While sportsbook odds are influenced by factors like public betting patterns and expert analysis, this market is driven by individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the game's outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources or interpretations of the same data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, reflecting the aggregated predictions of all participants. This creates a real-time assessment of the probability, distinct from static odds offered elsewhere.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the Buffalo and Las Vegas teams each score at least one point during the game. Official game statistics will be used to determine if both teams have scored. The final price on Kalshi at the time of resolution will reflect the accuracy of the market’s prediction and the collective intelligence of its traders. The outcome is determined by the official game results, not by any subjective interpretation.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Buffalo or Las Vegas team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable or unfavorable for scoring, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team performance could also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could influence trading activity and the overall price.