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Buffalo vs Las Vegas: 4th Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Buffalo vs Las Vegas?

Volume:
$61,158

Las Vegas wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 7:35 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,856
N/A
N/A
$9,467
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,381
N/A
N/A
$3,416
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 6.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,098
N/A
N/A
$3,241
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Buffalo wins by over 1.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,619
N/A
N/A
$9,836
Settled
No
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,501
N/A
N/A
$3,426
Settled
No
kalshi

Buffalo wins by over 2.5 points

0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,891
N/A
N/A
$2,790
Settled
No
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,639
N/A
N/A
$2,832
Settled
No
kalshi

Buffalo wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,539
N/A
N/A
$2,130
Settled
No
kalshi

Buffalo wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,991
N/A
N/A
$2,416
Settled
No
kalshi

Buffalo wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,574
N/A
N/A
$1,690
Settled
No
kalshi

Buffalo wins by over 7.5 points

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,136
N/A
N/A
$1,075
Settled
No
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 17.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$601
N/A
N/A
$601
Settled
No
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 14.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$332
N/A
N/A
$332
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This set of markets focuses on how decisively either Buffalo or Las Vegas wins the final quarter of their football game. Each outcome depends solely on the point differential during the last quarter, ignoring any points scored before or after regulation time.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the point differential Buffalo and Las Vegas achieve during the 4th quarter of their scheduled game on Oct 18, 2026, with overtime points excluded. Each market has a specific threshold: Buffalo must win by more than 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points, while Las Vegas must win by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points for respective resolutions to 'Yes.' If neither team meets their market's threshold, all resolve to 'No.' Thresholds represent varying degrees of dominance within the quarter, allowing traders to assess the likelihood of different margins of victory.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL 4th quarter spread meticulously tracks the evolving probabilities associated with the difference in scores between Buffalo and Las Vegas during the final period of play. You’ll find a real-time display of the current price, reflecting what traders are willing to pay to bet on either team covering the spread. The dashboard also provides a historical view of price movements, allowing you to analyze how sentiment has shifted over time. Additionally, it showcases the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $59,846, and the total overall volume for this market, which is $61,158.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small group of experts, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. However, both aim to accurately predict the probability of different outcomes in the Buffalo versus Las Vegas game, and comparing them can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread in the fourth quarter of the Buffalo versus Las Vegas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the NFL. The final spread will be calculated by subtracting the final score of the Las Vegas team from the final score of the Buffalo team, and the market will settle based on whether that difference exceeds the contract's specified spread.

Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Buffalo or Las Vegas teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's style of play, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first three quarters, such as a dominant offensive showing or a key turnover, could lead traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions, causing the price to move. Public sentiment and late-breaking analysis could also play a role.