TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether both the Buffalo Bills and Las Vegas Raiders will score points during the second quarter of their football game on October 18, 2026. Scoring plays such as touchdowns, field goals, and safeties are counted. The result hinges exclusively on the teams' ability to put points on the board in that quarter.
If Buffalo and Las Vegas both score points in the 2nd quarter of the Buffalo vs Las Vegas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' capabilities. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing a 'yes' or 'no' outcome to the question of whether both the Buffalo and Las Vegas teams will score in the second quarter. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate of the event occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability, offering a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential for scoring in the second quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official game statistics will be used to determine if both the Buffalo and Las Vegas teams scored at least one point during the second quarter of the game. The resolution will be based on the official box score, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of whether the market resolves to 'yes' or 'no'. The final price will reflect the probability of that outcome as determined by traders on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Buffalo or Las Vegas teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as the performance of these teams in their preceding games, could all contribute to price movements in this market.