TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the second half of an upcoming football game between Buffalo and Las Vegas. It specifically evaluates performance from the start of the third quarter through the end of regulation time, including any overtime periods.
If Las Vegas wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the Buffalo vs Las Vegas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Buffalo wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the Buffalo vs Las Vegas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the Buffalo vs Las Vegas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade and express their opinion, leading to odds that can diverge from sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or changes in team dynamics. Comparing these odds can provide a broader perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the group. Buying a contract is like betting on that outcome, while selling a contract is like taking the opposite position. The market determines the implied probability of each team winning the second half based on these trading activities.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the second half of the Buffalo vs Las Vegas game will determine the result. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to verify the winner. Trading will cease prior to resolution, and contracts will pay out based on the final result. The market's outcome is based on the official game statistics and is not subject to interpretation.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance in the first half of the game will likely have a significant impact, as traders adjust their positions based on the unfolding events. Significant betting activity from large players could also move the market, as could any public statements from analysts or experts offering their opinions on the game's likely outcome. These signals will all be reflected in the price of contracts on Kalshi.