TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting whether the combined score of Buffalo and Las Vegas in the second half of their football game will exceed various thresholds. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the potential pace and outcome of the game's latter stages.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both Buffalo and Las Vegas in the second half (including any overtime periods) of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. If the combined score exceeds the stated threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the second half and any subsequent overtime count toward these markets. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging towards probabilities that differ from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the outcome. You may find that this market's implied probability of a certain outcome diverges from sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available and more traders participate. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast event outcomes than traditional betting venues, though this isn’t always the case.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the second half of the Buffalo vs Las Vegas game will be used to determine whether the total points scored were over or under the specified threshold. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the outcome will receive a payout of 100 USD per contract.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Buffalo or Las Vegas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might lead traders to reassess their positions. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators can also contribute to shifts in the market price as the game approaches.