TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various thresholds for the total points scored by both teams in the first half of an upcoming football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of high or low scoring in the initial half of the match.
These markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by Buffalo and Las Vegas in the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. Each market has a unique threshold, and the outcome for each is determined solely by the total points scored during the first half of play. If the combined score meets or exceeds the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, and the resolution of one does not affect the others. Only points scored in the first half count, and the markets are not affiliated with or endorsed by the governing league.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price in this market will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before major events, as prediction markets can incorporate information not fully reflected in sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the Buffalo vs Las Vegas 1st half total. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, offering a real-time assessment of potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first half between Buffalo and Las Vegas will be used to determine whether the total points scored were over or under the relevant threshold. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual first-half total.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Buffalo or Las Vegas would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed participants can quickly alter prices. Finally, public perception and analysis from sports commentators can influence trader sentiment and contribute to price fluctuations in this market.