TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:03 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming football game. They resolve based on whether a team exceeds specific point thresholds within the first 30 minutes of play.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by either Buffalo or Las Vegas in the first half of the game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold: if the specified team scores more points than the threshold listed in the market title, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' Thresholds vary from 2.5 to 30.5 points for each team. All markets are independent — the outcome of one does not affect others. The official game result, including any approved substitutions or rescheduling that maintains the original date, determines resolution. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs and incorporate new information as it becomes available. This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially closer to the event. However, sportsbook odds are readily available for comparison, and discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage or informed trading.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of probabilities. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first half of the Buffalo vs Las Vegas game will determine whether the contracts settle above or below the relevant threshold. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will be used to verify the result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Buffalo or Las Vegas teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Public perception, reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.