TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 12:45 AM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the outcome of an NHL hockey game between Buffalo and Anaheim, focusing on the margin of victory. It determines whether either team wins by a specific number of goals or more. The resolution depends on the official game result, accounting for potential postponements within a defined timeframe.
The event consists of four markets, each evaluating different goal-differential thresholds for either Buffalo or Anaheim to win by. If Anaheim wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. If Anaheim wins by more than 1.5 goals, the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Buffalo wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes, and if Buffalo wins by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. All markets share a common secondary rule: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original scheduled time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome threshold being tracked.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – this market may adjust more quickly than sportsbook odds, potentially offering an informational advantage. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly favors one outcome, influencing the volume traded here.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the Buffalo vs Anaheim spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by the collective actions of all participants, creating a dynamic and evolving assessment of the likely outcome. The current price indicates what the market believes is the most probable point difference.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Buffalo vs Anaheim game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as determined by sports authorities. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. It is important to monitor the event closely as it approaches the resolution date to understand any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Key player injuries on either the Buffalo or Anaheim teams would likely cause shifts in the spread, as would any major changes in team performance or coaching strategies. Unexpected weather conditions impacting the game could also influence trading activity. News reports regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. Any significant public announcements or analyst predictions about the game's outcome may also lead to increased volume and price fluctuations in this market.