TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Buffalo Bulls vs. Marshall Thundering Herd
polymarket
predict
kalshi

Who will win Buffalo Bulls vs Marshall Thundering Herd?

Volume:
$57,368

Marshall

 - Kalshi

Marshall - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 2, 2026

Closed: Nov 2, 9:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Marshall

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$32,142
N/A
N/A
$26,203
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Buffalo

0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,856
N/A
N/A
$19,762
Settled
No
polymarket

Buffalo Bulls vs. Marshall Thundering Herd

0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$370
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Buffalo Bulls vs. Marshall Thundering Herd

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a college basketball game between the Buffalo Bulls and the Marshall Thundering Herd, scheduled for November 2nd. The markets aim to predict which team will win the game, with provisions for handling postponements or cancellations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves to 'Yes' regardless of which team wins, while Polymarket specifies the winning team.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket for a more precise prediction. Kalshi's market is effectively a binary 'game happens and has a winner' market, offering less value.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the specific winning team: "Buffalo Bulls" or "Marshall Thundering Herd". Includes provisions for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Source: ncaa.com.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins. This is a binary outcome. "If Marshall wins... the market resolves to Yes. If Buffalo wins... the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the CBB game between Buffalo Bulls and Marshall Thundering Herd on November 2 at 7:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official winner of the Buffalo vs Marshall men's college basketball game scheduled for November 2, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the CBB game between Buffalo Bulls and Marshall Thundering Herd on November 2 at 7:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. Both sources provide valuable information, but understanding their differing mechanisms is key to interpreting the odds effectively.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi for the Buffalo vs. Marshall game can arise due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading volumes, and risk appetites, all of which influence price discovery. Furthermore, each platform may interpret available information—such as team statistics, player injuries, and weather forecasts—differently. The fee structures on Polymarket and Kalshi can also contribute to price discrepancies. These variations are normal and reflect the dynamic nature of prediction markets, offering opportunities for arbitrage and informed trading.

Several signals could influence trading activity and move this market. Key injuries to star players on either team would likely have a significant impact, as would any major changes in coaching strategy or team dynamics. Unexpected weather conditions could also play a role, especially if they favor one team's playing style over the other. Furthermore, any significant news regarding team morale or off-field issues could shift trader sentiment and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.