TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Buffalo Bills will score over 31.5 points in their game against the Los Angeles Rams. Currently, the probability of the Buffalo Bills exceeding this point total on Kalshi is 99.0%. The resolution source for this market is the final score of the BUF Bills vs LA Rams Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, specifically if the LA Rams scores over 28.5 points. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of the match on or around the resolution date of 2026-10-13.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified team scores above a particular point threshold in the game between the Buffalo Bills and the Los Angeles Rams scheduled for October 12, 2026. If the team's points exceed the threshold listed in the market title, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' The thresholds vary incrementally for both teams, covering a wide range of possible scoring outcomes. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust prices based on their own analysis and information. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbook odds in terms of accuracy, as they aggregate diverse perspectives and adapt quickly to new information. This can provide a valuable signal for those looking to assess the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final team total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s potential. The market price essentially represents the collective forecast of all participants on Kalshi, and is constantly updated based on supply and demand for contracts related to different team total outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team total – the combined score of the Buffalo Bills and the Los Angeles Rams – will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual team total will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their stake. The market’s resolution is dependent on the official result of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Bills or the Rams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced leading up to the game could also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could impact the perceived probability of different team total outcomes and, therefore, the price on Kalshi.