TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the LA Rams will win their game against the Buffalo Bills by more than 2.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives an 86.0% probability to the Rams winning by over 2.5 points. The market will resolve based on the final score of the BUF Bills vs LA Rams Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if the LA Rams win by more than 7.5 points, with final resolution expected by October 13, 2026.
The markets resolve based on the point differential of the BUF Bills vs LA Rams Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 12, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point spread threshold, with 'Yes' resolving if the winning team exceeds that threshold. For markets where LA Rams win by more than a specified number of points, 'Yes' is triggered if their victory margin surpasses the stated spread. Conversely, for markets where BUF Bills win by more than a specified number of points, 'Yes' resolves if their margin of victory exceeds the given spread. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and attempt to balance action, this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see this market odds move in response to news, injuries, or other factors, potentially anticipating shifts that sportsbooks may be slower to incorporate. However, discrepancies can exist due to differing market dynamics and user bases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded, and those with inaccurate views may incur losses. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants regarding the Bills-Rams spread.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Bills-Rams game, as reported by official league sources. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Bills or the Rams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also influence the spread. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced by either team could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, late-breaking news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also contribute to volatility in this market before it resolves.