TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the final quarter of a professional football game between the Buffalo Bills and the Los Angeles Rams. The outcome depends solely on performance during that specific period, without considering the overall game result or any overtime play.
The market determines the winner of the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) in the Pro Football game between the BUF Bills and LA Rams scheduled for Oct 12, 2026. If Los Angeles scores the most points in that quarter, the Los Angeles market resolves to Yes. If Buffalo scores the most points, the Buffalo market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of points during the 4th quarter, all team markets resolve to No and the Tie market resolves to Yes. Points from overtime or any other quarter are irrelevant to this determination.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each venue. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, or simply a divergence in opinion regarding the likely result of the 4th quarter.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the changing consensus. The market operates much like an exchange, with traders acting as both market makers and takers, constantly refining the probabilities based on their individual insights and risk tolerance. A higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of that outcome occurring.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, if any, wins the 4th quarter of the Bills-Rams game. The result will be based on official game statistics and scoring, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Numerous factors could influence the price movement in this market. Key injuries to star players on either the Bills or the Rams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in game strategy, unexpected turnovers, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Real-time scoring updates during the game itself will be a major catalyst, especially as the 4th quarter approaches. Any news regarding player availability or team performance will be closely watched by traders, leading to potential price fluctuations as they adjust their predictions based on the latest information.