TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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BUF Bills vs LA Rams: 4th Quarter Winner
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What is the result of BUF Bills vs LA Rams?

Volume:
$173,545

Los Angeles R

 - Kalshi

Los Angeles R - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 11:30 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Los Angeles R

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,136
N/A
N/A
$12,455
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100,332
N/A
N/A
$99,689
Settled
No
kalshi

Buffalo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,077
N/A
N/A
$39,839
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the final quarter of a professional football game between the Buffalo Bills and the Los Angeles Rams. The outcome depends solely on performance during that specific period, without considering the overall game result or any overtime play.

Kalshi

The market determines the winner of the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) in the Pro Football game between the BUF Bills and LA Rams scheduled for Oct 12, 2026. If Los Angeles scores the most points in that quarter, the Los Angeles market resolves to Yes. If Buffalo scores the most points, the Buffalo market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of points during the 4th quarter, all team markets resolve to No and the Tie market resolves to Yes. Points from overtime or any other quarter are irrelevant to this determination.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Bills-Rams 4th quarter market displays the current price, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of each outcome – a Bills win, a Rams win, or neither team winning – fluctuates in real-time. The current volume is $128,365, and the total volume traded on this market is $173,545. This provides a clear picture of how traders are assessing the likelihood of different scenarios as the game progresses and new information becomes available. The dashboard is your central hub for following the action.

Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each venue. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, or simply a divergence in opinion regarding the likely result of the 4th quarter.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the changing consensus. The market operates much like an exchange, with traders acting as both market makers and takers, constantly refining the probabilities based on their individual insights and risk tolerance. A higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of that outcome occurring.

This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, if any, wins the 4th quarter of the Bills-Rams game. The result will be based on official game statistics and scoring, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.

Numerous factors could influence the price movement in this market. Key injuries to star players on either the Bills or the Rams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in game strategy, unexpected turnovers, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Real-time scoring updates during the game itself will be a major catalyst, especially as the 4th quarter approaches. Any news regarding player availability or team performance will be closely watched by traders, leading to potential price fluctuations as they adjust their predictions based on the latest information.