TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 10:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both the Buffalo Bills and the Los Angeles Rams during the second quarter of their upcoming game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to resolve as 'Yes'.
These markets evaluate whether the combined score of the Buffalo Bills and Los Angeles Rams exceeds specified thresholds during the second quarter of their game scheduled for October 12, 2026. Each market features a unique point threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the total points scored by both teams in that quarter surpass the respective threshold. Importantly, only points scored during the second quarter count toward these markets, isolating the analysis to that specific period of play. The markets are independent, with each threshold creating a distinct resolution criterion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the 2nd quarter total will be over or under a specific number of points. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price essentially represents the market’s consensus expectation for the final score, and changes in price reflect new information or shifts in trader sentiment regarding the Bills-Rams game.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final 2nd quarter total score of the Bills versus the Rams game will be used to determine whether the market resolves in favor of the 'over' or 'under' outcome. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the basis for verifying the result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their positions on Kalshi shortly after the game concludes and the official score is reported.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Bills or the Rams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi themselves can create momentum and shift the price, reflecting changes in trader confidence regarding the Bills-Rams 2nd quarter total.