TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 10:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the second quarter in an upcoming professional football game between the Buffalo Bills and the Los Angeles Rams. Each market assesses different point spreads to determine which team will have a decisive lead by the end of that quarter.
These markets evaluate various point spread thresholds for the second quarter of the designated game between the Buffalo Bills and the Los Angeles Rams. Each rule specifies a different margin of victory required for either team to trigger a 'Yes' resolution. All outcomes are determined exclusively by points scored during the second quarter of play. If the Los Angeles Rams win by exceeding the specified spread (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points), the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' Conversely, if the Buffalo Bills secure a win by surpassing their respective spread (also ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points), that market resolves positively for them. The markets are independent, meaning each spread threshold is evaluated separately, allowing multiple markets to resolve simultaneously depending on the actual point differential at the end of the second quarter. No affiliation or endorsement by the governing league is implied, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to trade based on their own insights, leading to odds that can diverge from sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate a wider range of factors and react more quickly to breaking news than traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 2nd quarter spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectations of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a market price that accurately represents the probability of different outcomes in the Bills-Rams game.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 2nd quarter spread of the Bills-Rams game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the NFL, and will determine which participants in this market correctly predicted the spread. The final spread will be the deciding factor for settlement, and all contracts will be paid out accordingly based on whether they aligned with the actual result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Bills or the Rams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest unfavorable conditions for passing or running, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market. Public sentiment and expert analysis could also play a role.