TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the second half of an upcoming professional football game between the Buffalo Bills and the Los Angeles Rams. The outcome depends solely on the performance of each team after the halftime break, with overtime included in the evaluation. If both teams finish the second half with equal scores, the result is considered a tie.
The market determines the winner of the second half (including overtime) of the Pro Football game between the Buffalo Bills and the Los Angeles Rams scheduled for October 12, 2026. Each market corresponds to one of the three possible outcomes: a Los Angeles Rams victory, a Buffalo Bills victory, or a tie in points scored during the second half. Only points scored after halftime—and any subsequent overtime periods—are counted toward the final determination. If both teams finish the second half with identical scores, all team-specific outcomes resolve to No, and the Tie market resolves to Yes. This structure ensures that the market reflects the relative performance of each team strictly within the latter half of the contest.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to continuously adjust the price based on new information and their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether a particular outcome will occur. As more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price displayed on the dashboard represents the current market consensus, and it fluctuates in real-time based on supply and demand from traders.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result will be determined by which team has the higher score at the end of the second half of the Bills vs Rams game. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the second-half winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Bills or the Rams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the market. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first half, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, could lead traders to adjust their predictions and alter the price. Unexpected coaching decisions or even momentum swings could also contribute to movement in this market.