TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting whether the combined score of the Buffalo Bills and Los Angeles Rams in the second half of their game will exceed various thresholds. Bettors assess the teams' offensive capabilities and defensive strategies specifically for the latter half of play.
These markets determine whether the total points scored by both the Buffalo Bills and Los Angeles Rams during the second half (including any overtime periods) of their game scheduled for October 12, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. Each threshold represents a separate market, with resolution dependent solely on the combined second-half scoring. Points from the first half or any pre-game activities are excluded from consideration. All thresholds are independent, meaning each market resolves based on its own point requirement, allowing for varied outcomes across different scoring levels.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to buy or sell contracts based on their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe the actual total will be higher than the sportsbook's line, the price in this market will rise, potentially offering a better opportunity than available at a sportsbook. It’s important to compare both to inform your decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. Each contract represents a specific total score for the second half of the Bills-Rams game. As more people buy contracts predicting a particular total, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the probability that the final score will fall within that range, as perceived by the traders on the platform. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the second half of the Bills-Rams game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts corresponding to the actual total score will settle at 100, while those predicting a different total will settle at 0. The official game statistics will serve as the source of truth for the resolution of this market, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Bills or the Rams would likely cause significant movement, as it impacts the expected scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also affect the game’s scoring dynamics. Finally, even in-game events during the first half, like a dominant performance by one team or unexpected turnovers, could shift trader sentiment and move the price of this market.