TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 8:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of an upcoming football game. Bettors can speculate on whether the combined scoring will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of risk and reward based on expected offensive performance in the opening period.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first quarter of play in the specified Pro Football game. Each market has a different threshold for 'Over,' meaning the market resolves to 'Yes' only if the combined score exceeds that specific threshold. Points from any other quarters or periods do not count toward these outcomes. All markets are independent, and bettors can choose from various threshold levels to match their expectations of early-game scoring intensity.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the potential outcome and identify opportunities where you believe the market is mispricing the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions about the first quarter total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a higher total, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity provide insights into the confidence levels of participants, and the price movements can be influenced by various factors, including news, injuries, and expert opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total points scored in the first quarter of the Bills-Rams game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics, and the market will settle based on whether the actual total falls above or below the threshold defined by the contract prices. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the odds at the time of their trade, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries, particularly to quarterbacks or starting offensive players for either the Bills or the Rams, would likely cause substantial price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, such as the prediction of heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence expectations about scoring. Finally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also shift the market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.