TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 9:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the Buffalo Bills and Los Angeles Rams will collectively score over 28.5 points in the first half of their Pro Football game. Currently, the “Yes” outcome – that there *will* be over 7.5 1H points scored – is trading at 99.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by the actual combined score of both teams during the first half, as reported by official game statistics. Keep an eye on the game itself, as this market will resolve following the conclusion of the first half on October 13, 2026, and the final score will determine the outcome.
The markets resolve based on the total points scored by both the Buffalo Bills and Los Angeles Rams during the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 12, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. If the combined score exceeds the stated threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored in the first half count toward these outcomes. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The governing body's official scoring and game records are used to determine the final outcome. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Therefore, discrepancies can emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly than sportsbooks in response to significant developments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the Bills-Rams first half total. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a constantly updated assessment of the likely first half total, based on real-time trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first half total of the Bills-Rams game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine whether contracts predicting over or under the settled total pay out. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the official score is confirmed. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Bills or the Rams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the scoring environment, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence traders’ perceptions of the likely first half total. Public sentiment and large bets from informed traders can also contribute to price fluctuations.