TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.8b

24H VOL:

$104,324,478

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,660,434,525

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,604,169,862

483,380

Markets across

36,605

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,881

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Bucks vs. Thunder
polymarket
kalshi

Bucks vs. Thunder

Volume:
$17,170,767

Milwaukee

 - Kalshi

Milwaukee - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 13, 2026

Closed: Feb 12, 10:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Milwaukee

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$1,857,759
$6,311,379
N/A
N/A
$3,016,634
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oklahoma City

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1,850,277
$4,675,297
N/A
N/A
$3,122,292
Settled
No
polymarket

Bucks vs. Thunder

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,560,532
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

1H Moneyline

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,887
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

1H O/U 110.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,454
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 5.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,349
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Jericho Sims: Points O/U 5.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,137
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,034
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Bobby Portis: Points O/U 11.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,992
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,341
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,328
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

AJ Green: Points O/U 10.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,126
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

AJ Green: Assists O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$359
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

1H O/U 109.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$291
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Aaron Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 3.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$210
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -13.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$411,730
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 214.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$298,162
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -11.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$259,724
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -12.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$188,345
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 215.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$147,859
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -14.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$119,035
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 216.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,409
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 213.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,765
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 9.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,549
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 4.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,422
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 25 of 47

Description

This event group covers the NBA game between the Milwaukee Bucks and Oklahoma City Thunder scheduled for February 12, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets include moneyline, spreads, totals, first-half props, and individual player performance metrics (points, rebounds, assists) across both platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Scope and granularity divergence. Kalshi offers a single binary outcome market (either team wins = Yes), while Polymarket provides 40+ granular markets (player props, spreads, totals, first-half variants) with detailed edge-case protocols. The underlying game outcome is unified, but market structure and resolution detail differ significantly.Hero tip: Treat Kalshi as a simple moneyline hedge. Polymarket's player props are sensitive to injury/inactivity rulings—monitor NBA official roster updates before tip-off. If a player is ruled inactive, all their Polymarket props resolve No automatically. Kalshi's binary outcome is unaffected by player status.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: 40 distinct markets covering moneyline, spreads (full game and 1H), totals (full game and 1H at multiple thresholds), and individual player props (points, rebounds, assists). Each market includes explicit resolution rules: postponement keeps market open until game completion; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50; player inactivity resolves player props to No; overtime is included; official NBA.com box score is the sole resolution source. Example: 'Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5' resolves Yes if >5.5 rebounds, No if ≤5.5 or player inactive.
  • Kalshi: Single binary market: 'If Milwaukee wins the Milwaukee at Oklahoma City professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma City wins the Milwaukee at Oklahoma City professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' No explicit handling of postponement, cancellation, or player status. Resolves Yes if either team wins (i.e., always Yes unless game is canceled).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.