TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Bucks vs. Thunder
Volume:
$17,170,767
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Milwaukee Bucks and Oklahoma City Thunder scheduled for February 12, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets include moneyline, spreads, totals, first-half props, and individual player performance metrics (points, rebounds, assists) across both platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Scope and granularity divergence. Kalshi offers a single binary outcome market (either team wins = Yes), while Polymarket provides 40+ granular markets (player props, spreads, totals, first-half variants) with detailed edge-case protocols. The underlying game outcome is unified, but market structure and resolution detail differ significantly.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi as a simple moneyline hedge. Polymarket's player props are sensitive to injury/inactivity rulings—monitor NBA official roster updates before tip-off. If a player is ruled inactive, all their Polymarket props resolve No automatically. Kalshi's binary outcome is unaffected by player status.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: 40 distinct markets covering moneyline, spreads (full game and 1H), totals (full game and 1H at multiple thresholds), and individual player props (points, rebounds, assists). Each market includes explicit resolution rules: postponement keeps market open until game completion; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50; player inactivity resolves player props to No; overtime is included; official NBA.com box score is the sole resolution source. Example: 'Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5' resolves Yes if >5.5 rebounds, No if ≤5.5 or player inactive.
- Kalshi: Single binary market: 'If Milwaukee wins the Milwaukee at Oklahoma City professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma City wins the Milwaukee at Oklahoma City professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' No explicit handling of postponement, cancellation, or player status. Resolves Yes if either team wins (i.e., always Yes unless game is canceled).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.