TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 11d:09h:13m
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In the upcoming NBA game between Bucks and Magic, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks". If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming NBA game between Bucks and Magic, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks". If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing analysis, public biases, or simply the volume of participants in each venue. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently in response to new information than traditional betting markets, though this isn't always the case.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective intelligence of the participants, and is constantly adjusting based on new information and sentiment. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bucks versus Magic game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants.
Several signals could influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either the Bucks or the Magic would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about player availability, or even significant shifts in public perception, could all contribute to movement in this market. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into potential shifts in the market’s implied probabilities.