TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat NBA game scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spreads, totals, player prop overs/unders (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half variants across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution logic: official NBA.com final score determines all outcomes, with consistent handling of postponements (remain open), cancellations (50-50), and overtime inclusion.
Primary resolution logic:
Official NBA.com box score and final game resultCore resolution logic:
- Moneyline and spread markets resolve based on final score including all overtime periods
- Player prop markets (points, rebounds, assists) resolve based on official NBA box score statistics for that player
- Spread thresholds are strictly applied: Heat (-6.5) resolves Heat if winning by 7+, Heat (-5.5) if winning by 6+, etc.
- Total markets resolve Over if combined score meets or exceeds the stated threshold (e.g., 229+ for 228.5 line)
- First-half markets resolve based solely on halftime score, not final score
- If a player is listed inactive or does not take the court, player prop markets resolve No
- Ties at halftime in first-half moneyline resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Game Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed. No early resolution occurs.
- Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (split pool equally between Yes and No outcomes).
- Overtime: All overtime periods are included in final score calculations for moneyline, spread, and total markets. Player props include entire game including overtime.
- Player Inactivity: If a player is listed as inactive or does not take the court, all player prop markets for that player resolve No regardless of threshold.
- Halftime Tie: In first-half moneyline markets, if the score is tied at halftime, the market resolves 50-50.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the official final score is published on NBA.com following game completion. First-half markets resolve at halftime. All markets remain open if the game is postponed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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