TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Exact Margin: Bucks by 1-5
- Polymarket
Exact Margin: Bucks by 1-5 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 02d:03h:19m
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Exact margin markets for Bucks vs. Celtics.
Exact margin markets for Bucks vs. Celtics.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the final point difference in the Bucks-Celtics game. As more shares are traded, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective probability assigned to each possible margin. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share indicates the probability of that specific margin occurring. For example, a share priced at 10 means that traders collectively believe there's a 10% chance of that margin being the final result.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point difference between the Bucks and the Celtics, as officially recorded by game statistics, will determine the winning margin. The market will settle to 100 for the exact margin that occurred, and 0 for all other possible margins. Traders holding shares in the correct margin will receive a payout of 100 shares for every 1 share they purchased.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Bucks or the Celtics would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or lineup changes right before the game would be particularly impactful. Furthermore, any major shifts in public perception or analysis of the teams’ chances could drive changes in volume and price.