TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 3:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various scoring thresholds for an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on whether the combined points scored by both teams will exceed specific values.
These markets resolve based on whether the total points scored by both teams in the Bucknell vs Georgetown college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 27.5 to 67.5 points. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, and if the combined score surpasses the threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring that unforeseen scheduling changes do not unfairly impact market outcomes. All markets are independent, each focusing on a distinct scoring benchmark.
Often, prediction market odds can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a broader range of information and perspectives than a sportsbook's internal models. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market reflects what traders believe will actually happen. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, public biases, or simply the dynamic nature of information flow leading up to the game. It’s common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information than sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total points predictions for the Bucknell-Georgetown game. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that specific total occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. Buying a contract is essentially betting that the final points total will be equal to or greater than the contract’s value, while selling is betting it will be lower.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final points total scored in the Bucknell vs. Georgetown game will be used to determine which contracts payout. Contracts predicting a total points value equal to or greater than the actual total will pay out $100, while those predicting a lower total will expire worthless. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bucknell or Georgetown would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also cause traders to reassess their predictions. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price changes, reflecting shifts in overall market sentiment.