TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 3:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks various point-spread scenarios for an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on the potential margin of victory for either team. Each market corresponds to a different threshold by which either Bucknell or Georgetown might win, reflecting diverse expectations about the game's outcome.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Bucknell vs Georgetown college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For Georgetown win markets, resolution occurs if Georgetown's victory exceeds specified point thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 27.5 points. For Bucknell win markets, resolution occurs if Bucknell wins by more than thresholds from 1.5 to 20.5 points. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve per the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price here will move accordingly, potentially offering a different value than what is available at a sportsbook. It’s important to compare both to identify potential opportunities, but remember that this market represents a distinct set of predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Bucknell vs Georgetown spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the collective prediction. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out based on the final spread.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Bucknell vs Georgetown game will be used to determine which contracts payout. Contracts predicting the actual spread will pay out $1.00, while those predicting a different spread will expire worthless. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Bucknell or Georgetown teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in public perception, reflected in updated betting lines from sportsbooks, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about team strategies or weather conditions affecting the game could also contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help traders assess the evolving probabilities and make informed decisions.