TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 2:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two soccer teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether either team wins by a specific number of goals, providing different thresholds for each potential outcome. The result depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates the outcome of the Bucheon vs Gwangju professional Korea K League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, determining whether either team achieves a win by a specified goal margin. Four distinct criteria define resolution: Bucheon must win by more than 2.5 goals, Bucheon must win by more than 1.5 goals, Gwangju must win by more than 1.5 goals, or Gwangju must win by more than 2.5 goals. All assessments are based exclusively on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootout results. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn’t yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s a useful comparison for informed bettors.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Bucheon vs Gwangju match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual spread achieved in the game, as officially recorded by the relevant sporting authorities. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The market will close prior to the event’s completion to prevent manipulation.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment, could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches involving these teams, or changes in their overall form, might prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into potential market movements.