TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 8:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This prediction group concerns which player will score the first touchdown in the Buccaneers vs. Cowboys NFL game on October 8th. Markets exist for individual players, as well as 'Other' options covering all remaining players or no touchdowns scored. Resolution hinges on official NFL game books.
First Touchdown Scorer markets for Buccaneers vs. Cowboys.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Tampa Bay vs Dallas Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 8, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Dallas scores first, Tampa Bay scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown during the entire game, including overtime. All touchdowns—offensive, defensive, or special teams—count toward the resolution. If the first touchdown occurs in overtime, it still resolves the market for that team. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The differing prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the first touchdown scorer market can stem from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to more efficient price discovery. Additionally, the specific mechanisms for price updates and order execution may differ between the two platforms, contributing to short-term discrepancies. Furthermore, differing opinions on player health, game strategy, and potential matchups can influence individual traders' assessments and, consequently, the prices on each platform.