TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 06d:13h:32m
$
This prediction group covers the outcome of an NFL football game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Chicago Bears, as well as various spread and over/under markets related to the game. Markets exist for the overall winner, point spreads, and total points scored.
In the upcoming NFL football game between Buccaneers and Bears, scheduled for November 8 at 8:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Buccaneers" if Buccaneers win the game. This market will resolve to "Bears" if Bears win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the result of the professional football game between Tampa Bay and Chicago scheduled for November 8, 2026. If either team wins, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, each team’s market will resolve to $0.50. Postponements are handled based on timing: if the game starts within 48 hours of the original schedule, the market remains open to resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within that 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price. These rules ensure clarity across various potential game outcomes and scheduling changes.
In the upcoming NFL football game between Buccaneers and Bears, scheduled for November 8 at 8:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Buccaneers" if Buccaneers win the game. This market will resolve to "Bears" if Bears win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for 2026-11-09 01:20 UTC: If the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win, the market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Buccaneers". If the Chicago Bears win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Bears". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Prediction market odds, like those found on this market, often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially incorporating information and perspectives not fully captured by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the game's outcome. This can lead to differences in probabilities and implied outcomes, especially as new information emerges. The volume traded on this market also provides a sense of confidence in the prevailing prediction.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Buccaneers vs. Bears game can diverge due to a number of factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading limits, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, differing liquidity levels on each platform can lead to price discrepancies. For example, Polymarket currently favors 1H Spread: Buccaneers (-1.5) at 100.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Chicago wins at 72.0%. These differences reflect the unique dynamics of each market.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Buccaneers vs. Bears game, as reported by official sports sources, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will have until the resolution time to adjust their positions based on any late-breaking information or shifts in sentiment. The outcome will be based on the final, official score of the game.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 9, 2026. Any major news regarding injuries to key players on either the Buccaneers or the Bears would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in weather forecasts for the game location could also move the market, as could significant shifts in betting odds from traditional sportsbooks. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also influence trader sentiment and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.