TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$181,481,432

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,827,991,073

405,996

Markets across

40,551

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,368

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Bucaramanga vs Junior
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What is the result of Bucaramanga vs Junior?

Volume:
$1,100,570

Bucaramanga

 - Kalshi

Bucaramanga - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 9:08 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bucaramanga

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$695,649
N/A
N/A
$347,685
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Junior

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$259,921
N/A
N/A
$134,236
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$145,000
N/A
N/A
$107,945
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Bucaramanga will win its professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer game against Junior. Currently, the probability of Bucaramanga winning on Kalshi is 98.0%, with a 2.0% probability of a tie. The market resolves based on the outcome of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by Kalshi, and does not include extra time or penalties. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for October 4, 2026, as the result will determine whether Bucaramanga secures the win and resolves this market to ‘Yes’ by the resolution date of October 5, 2026.

Kalshi

The event covers three possible outcomes of the Bucaramanga vs Junior Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match scheduled for October 4, 2026: a win for Bucaramanga, a win for Junior, or a tie—all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if its specific outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The event explicitly excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing strictly on the result within regular time plus stoppage time.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Bucaramanga vs Junior match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how the market is pricing the outcome, allowing you to see shifts in sentiment over time. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $1,087,898 and the total volume is $1,100,570. This provides insight into how actively traders are participating in this market. The dashboard is updated in real-time, reflecting the latest activity and predictions.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own beliefs, which can lead to odds that diverge from traditional bookmakers. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, the prediction market may show a different probability. It’s a fascinating comparison of analytical versus collective intelligence.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The current market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bucaramanga vs Junior match as reported by a recognized sports authority. It’s important to note that the market will close prior to the official result being known, allowing time for verification. Traders should monitor the market closely as the event approaches and be aware of the resolution timeline.

Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one side – can quickly move the odds. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market effectively.