TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 9:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Bucaramanga vs Aguilas Doradas Rionegro professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer game will end in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, “Tie is the result” is trading at 73.0% on Kalshi, with “Bucaramanga wins” at 24.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the match as reported by official sources. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Bucaramanga wins the game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026, and will be settled by the resolution date estimate of 2026-10-14.
The event resolves based on the outcome of the Bucaramanga vs Aguilas Doradas Rionegro professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match scheduled for October 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Bucaramanga wins, the 'Bucaramanga' market resolves to Yes. If Aguilas Doradas Rionegro wins, the 'Aguilas Doradas Rionegro' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration for all markets.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the wisdom of the crowd on Kalshi, aims to reflect the true probabilities as perceived by traders. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market continuously adjusts as more information and opinions are factored in, potentially offering a more accurate forecast of the match's outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, meaning that if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bucaramanga vs Aguilas Doradas match, as declared by the governing sporting body. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the actual result. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final outcome of this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 14, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bucaramanga or Aguilas Doradas would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on the day of the match, or even pre-match tactical announcements from the managers, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.