TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Brusque and Paysandu, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It considers different thresholds for goal differences to determine the result. The event is based on the official game scheduled for October 10, 2026, and only the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time count toward the resolution.
The event resolves based on the goal differential of the Brusque vs Paysandu professional Brasileiro Serie C soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated: Brusque winning by more than 2.5 goals, Brusque winning by more than 1.5 goals, Paysandu winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Paysandu winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any of these conditions met during the specified match duration will resolve the event positively. The resolution exclusively considers the regular time result, with no affiliation or endorsement implied by Kalshi toward the governing league or its intellectual properties.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the Brusque vs Paysandu match and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts predicting a specific spread, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its assessment of the Brusque vs Paysandu match’s likely result. The current price represents the market’s collective forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread of the Brusque vs Paysandu match, as determined by official results, will be used to determine the winning contracts. All contracts will be settled based on this verified outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several signals could move this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies for either Brusque or Paysandu could significantly impact the perceived likelihood of different spread outcomes. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could also influence trading activity. Major upsets in related matches or broader trends in team performance could also contribute to price movements in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.