TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a league game. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. Markets will reflect whether either team wins or if the match ends evenly.
The event resolves based on the result of the Brusque vs Paysandu professional Brasileiro Serie C soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Brusque wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Brusque' market resolves to Yes. If Paysandu wins under the same conditions, the 'Paysandu' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The resolution excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result after standard playing time.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. If there's a significant difference, it could indicate disagreement between the crowd and the sportsbook, or that the market has identified information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. It’s important to consider both when forming your own assessment of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Brusque vs Paysandu match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on the final score and declare the outcome. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or tactical changes leading up to the match are also likely to cause movement. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence the market's direction.