TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Bruins vs. Red Wings
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 21 at 8:00PM ET: If the Bruins win, the market will resolve to "Bruins". If the Red Wings win, the market will resolve to "Red Wings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves on margin thresholds (1.5+ or 2.5+ goal wins for either team), while Polymarket resolves on moneyline winner and total goals scored. These are fundamentally different outcome dimensions.Hero Tip:
If you bet on Kalshi's margin markets, your resolution depends on win margin, not just who wins. On Polymarket, the moneyline resolves on winner only, and totals markets are independent. A Bruins 3-1 win resolves YES on Kalshi (over 1.5 margin) but only resolves 'Bruins' on Polymarket moneyline—these are not contradictory, but they measure different things. Ensure you understand which dimension you are trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers four margin-based markets that resolve YES if either team wins by over 1.5 or over 2.5 goals. All four markets can resolve YES simultaneously if the margin is large enough. Key quote: 'If Boston wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Detroit wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers a moneyline market (Bruins vs. Red Wings winner) and three independent total-goals markets (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5). The moneyline resolves to exactly one winner; totals resolve based on combined score only, independent of margin. Key quote: 'If the Bruins win, the market will resolve to Bruins. If the Red Wings win, the market will resolve to Red Wings' and 'This market will resolve to Over if the Bruins and Red Wings combine to score 5 or more goals.'
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