TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:11 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the potential margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that determines the outcome.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Brown vs Rhode Island college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If Rhode Island wins by exceeding the specified point margin—from 1.5 to 29.5 points—the corresponding "Yes" outcome is triggered. Conversely, if Brown wins by more than the designated margins (2.5 to 18.5 points), the respective "Yes" outcome for Brown’s victory margins is satisfied. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game’s ultimate status.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or news breaks. Polls and analysts’ predictions also frequently diverge from both sportsbook and prediction market prices, highlighting the unique information incorporated into each. Observing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Brown-Rhode Island spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of a particular outcome. As more traders buy contracts predicting a certain spread, the price increases, and vice-versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly adjusting to new information and sentiment. The current price represents the market’s best estimate of the likely spread.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread, as determined by official sources covering the Brown versus Rhode Island football game, will be used to determine which side of the market settles positively. The market will pay out $100 to the winning side and $0 to the losing side. Traders should monitor official results to understand the final outcome and settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Brown or Rhode Island teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or media coverage, can also play a role, though this market is driven by trading activity on Kalshi.