TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.8b

24H VOL:

$104,324,478

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,660,434,525

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,604,169,862

483,380

Markets across

36,605

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,881

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Broncos vs. Chiefs
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Broncos vs. Chiefs?

Volume:
$16,354,878

Spread -2.5

 - Polymarket

Spread -2.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 1:17 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$506,667
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$352,886
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$130,160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 40.5

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$74,999
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$57,299
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$55,563
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$50,690
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -0.5

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$45,893
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 20.5

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$42,378
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 4Q by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$41,110
N/A
N/A
$19,481
Settled
Yes
polymarket

4Q Spread -3.5

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 4Q by over 1.5 points

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$40,519
N/A
N/A
$26,462
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2H Spread -1.5

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$38,549
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -20.5

View
100%
93%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$33,198
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$32,998
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$27,061
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

View
100%
91%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$26,700
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25,922
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$22,664
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 4Q by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,605
N/A
N/A
$9,438
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 39.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,377
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
100%
89%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,832
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1Q O/U 7.5

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,579
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,026
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 384

Intro

This market tracks the probability of the Denver Broncos winning the first quarter moneyline against the Kansas City Chiefs. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Kalshi and Polymarket gives a 99.0% probability to “Broncos vs. Chiefs: 1Q Moneyline.” Resolution will be based on the final game result as reported by https://www.nfl.com/scores. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the game on September 14th, as the first quarter result will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Significant divergence in market scope. Polymarket covers the full game, while Kalshi focuses almost entirely on the 4th quarter and its point differential.Hero tip: Carefully examine the market description before trading. Kalshi markets are very specific to the 4th quarter and do not reflect the overall game outcome. Polymarket markets provide a broader view.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the final game outcome (win/loss/tie) or total points scored. If the game is canceled, markets resolve 50-50. Overtime is included.
  • Kalshi: Markets focus exclusively on the point differential in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime). Numerous markets exist for different point spread thresholds.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 14 at 8:15PM ET: If Broncos wins, the market will resolve to "Broncos". If Chiefs wins, the market will resolve to "Chiefs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

These markets evaluate whether the Kansas City Chiefs or Denver Broncos will win the fourth quarter of their scheduled game by exceeding specific point differentials. All outcomes are determined solely by points scored during the fourth quarter of regulation time; overtime points are excluded from consideration. Each market corresponds to a distinct threshold—ranging from modest advantages to substantial margins—for either team to surpass in order to resolve as 'Yes'. The thresholds are structured incrementally, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance within the final quarter. All markets share the same secondary rule, ensuring consistency in point-counting methodology across the entire set.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Broncos vs. Chiefs game from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays a consensus view of probabilities, combining volume and price data to show where the crowd currently believes the outcome will land. Currently, the aggregated volume for this market is $16,354,878, with $15,919,248 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to quickly assess overall market sentiment and compare it to individual platform prices. The dashboard aims to provide a comprehensive overview of prediction market activity surrounding this matchup.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. In contrast, prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to more efficient pricing, particularly as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of bets and may have different risk tolerances, leading to discrepancies in odds for this market.